Oct 14, 2026

PADD 1C Enters Heating Season 10% Below the Five-Year Median

No new EIA readings since the last issue. US propane stocks were last reported at 107.8 million barrels on Oct 2. PADD 1C, the Lower Atlantic, is the furthest below the five-year median of any tracked region at 10% below.

Numbers as of Oct 14, 2026 pull

Cite

No new EIA readings have been published since the last issue. The most recent data from EIA's Weekly Petroleum Status Report puts US propane stocks at 107.8 million barrels as of October 2, covering 118 days of supply at the trailing four-week product-supplied average of 0.915 million barrels per day. PADD 1C, the Lower Atlantic, holds 1.7 million barrels, the furthest below normal of any region at 10% below the five-year median.

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  • Early-season warmth: NOAA's CPC LP-gas-weighted heating degree days totaled 28 HDD last week, 27 HDD warmer than normal for the period. Season to date, LP-gas-weighted HDDs are running 45% warmer than normal, limiting early draw pressure on stocks.
  • EIA December inventory forecast: EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook projects US propane/propylene inventories at 98.7 million barrels at the end of December 2026. This is EIA's forecast, not an observed reading.
  • Export backdrop: US propane exports averaged 2 million barrels per day in the first half of 2026, 11% above the same period in 2025, per EIA's October 1, 2026 Today in Energy. EIA cited record US production and growing demand from India and other South Asian countries as drivers of the elevated export pace.